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peter

5813 Posts

Posted - 04/15/2008 :  10:27:21 AM

U.S. Foreclosures Jump 57% as Homeowners Walk Away (Update3)

By Dan Levy



April 15 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. foreclosure filings jumped 57 percent and bank repossessions more than doubled in March from a year earlier as adjustable mortgages increased and more owners lost their homes to lenders.

More than 234,000 properties were in some stage of foreclosure, or one in every 538 U.S. households, Irvine, California-based RealtyTrac Inc., a seller of default data, said today in a statement. Nevada, California and Florida had the highest foreclosure rates. Filings rose 5 percent from February.

About $460 billion of adjustable-rate loans are scheduled to reset this year, according to New York-based analysts at Citigroup Inc. Auction notices rose 32 percent from a year ago, a sign that more defaulting homeowners are ``simply walking away and deeding their properties back to the foreclosing lender'' rather than letting the home be auctioned, RealtyTrac Chief Executive Officer James Saccacio said in the statement.

``We're not near the bottom of this at all,'' said Kenneth Rosen, chairman of Rosen Real Estate Securities LLC, a hedge fund in Berkeley, California and chairman of the Fisher Center for Real Estate at the University of California at Berkeley. ``The foreclosure process will accelerate throughout the year.''

Rising foreclosures will add more inventory to an already glutted market, keep home prices down through at least next year and thwart efforts by Congress and President George W. Bush to help homeowners avoid default, Rosen said in an interview.

`Drag' on Prices

About 2.5 million foreclosed properties will be on the market this year and in 2009, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. analysts led by Michelle Meyer said in an April 10 report. U.S. home price declines will probably double to a national average of 20 percent by next year, with lower values most likely in metropolitan areas in California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada, mortgage insurer PMI Group Inc. said last week in a report
Borrowers who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth may be buffeted by increasing job losses in a ``very substantial recession,'' Rosen said. About 8.8 million borrowers had home mortgages that exceeded the value of their property, Moody's Economy.com said last week.

``At least 2 million jobs will be lost because of this recession, so we'll get a cumulative negative spiral,'' Rosen said. ``A normal recession is 10 months. We think this one may be twice as long.''

Subprime Defaults

Bank seizures climbed 129 percent from a year earlier, according to RealtyTrac, which has a database of more than 1 million properties and monitors foreclosure filings including defaults notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions. March was the 27th consecutive month of year-on-year monthly foreclosure increases. In February, foreclosure filings rose 60 percent.
A surge in defaults among subprime borrowers, those with poor or limited credit, spurred the collapse of the U.S. home loan market and has led more than 100 mortgage companies to stop lending, close or sell themselves. As the value of securities tied to mortgages plummeted, lenders and securities firms have reported writedowns and credit losses of at least $245 billion since the beginning of 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Nevada had the highest U.S. foreclosure rate in March at one for every 139 households, almost four times the national rate, RealtyTrac said. Filings there increased almost 62 percent from a year earlier to 7,659.

Florida, Ohio

California had the second-highest rate at one filing for every 204 households, and the most filings for the 15th consecutive month at 64,711. Foreclosure filings more than doubled from a year earlier and were up about 21 percent from February.

Florida had the third-highest rate, one filing for every 282 households, and ranked second in total filings at 30,254. Foreclosures increased 112 percent from a year earlier and decreased almost 7 percent from February, RealtyTrac said.

Ohio ranked third in filings at 11,273 and had the seventh- highest foreclosure rate, one for every 448 households. Georgia, Texas, Michigan, Arizona, Illinois, Nevada and Colorado also ranked among the top 10 states with the most filings, RealtyTrac said.

Foreclosure filings in New York rose 37 percent in March from a year ago and fell 3 percent from February. The state ranked 30th with 5,088 filings.

New Jersey's Declines

In New Jersey, foreclosure filings fell 6.2 percent from a year ago and declined 20 percent from February. There were 4,482 filings in March. Connecticut foreclosures jumped 40 percent from a year ago and fell 3.3 percent from February. It had 2,126 filings.

``The continued increase in new foreclosures implies an even larger drag on prices in 2008,'' Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Economist Jan Hatzius wrote April 8. Home prices fell 8.9 percent in the fourth quarter, the biggest decline in 20 years as measured by the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index.

Some borrowers are ``hanging on at the margins'' in the face of resets, said Mark Goldman, a loan officer at Windsor Capital Mortgage Corp. in San Diego.

Goldman said one of his clients is a self-employed contractor whose adjustable-rate mortgage rose by two percentage points two months ago. His mortgage payment has increased to $7,200 from $4,900.

``I've had people sitting in my office in tears because there are no loans available,'' said Goldman. ``There are no loans for someone who's upside down on their house.''

* Top Five States for Foreclosures State Rate Per Households Total Nevada 139 7,659 California 204 64,711 Florida 282 30,254 Arizona 283 9,199 Colorado 339 6,180 *

To contact the reporter on this story: Dan Levy in San Francisco at dlevy13@bloomberg.net.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a3_Y.T_wvElI&refer=home

Scrooge McDuck

13891 Posts

Posted - 04/15/2008 :  10:31:50 AM
1 / 538 = 0.001858%

0.001858% of ALL US homes are in foreclosure? i have a hard time freaking out over a number like that.

lajollawlth

43 Posts

Posted - 04/15/2008 :  10:54:13 AM
well it is pretty unnerving because last year it was .0011834%..... the sky is falling!
Carpet Muncher

1387 Posts

Posted - 04/15/2008 :  10:55:37 AM
Peter has a lot of posts but they are all about negative news headlines. He must be fun at parties.
MarkIFC

767 Posts

Posted - 04/15/2008 :  11:09:47 AM
Just like 5% of Realtors make 90% of the money.....
Just like the top 10% of LOs make 80% of the money...
Just like the wealthiest 3% in the country make 95% of the money....

4% of mortgages going under can bring down the economy.

It's called the "Pareto Principal".

Study up on it--- http://www.oftwominds.com/blogapr08/new-revolution2.html
ppulatie

2335 Posts

Posted - 04/15/2008 :  11:14:33 AM
If you lived in CA you would be freaking out.....
Scrooge McDuck

13891 Posts

Posted - 04/15/2008 :  11:18:00 AM
quote:
Originally posted by ppulatie

If you lived in CA you would be freaking out.....



well its california balanced out with wisconsin that make such a low percentage.
lajollawlth

43 Posts

Posted - 04/15/2008 :  11:25:44 AM
I wonder how the Pareto principal would have outlined the fall of the US economy in 2001 after the dot com bust and the middle class took it on the chin, or in the early 90's when real estate did a backflip. The article posted only outlines real estate as an ATM from which to draw equity, blind to the tax benefits and the fact that it provides one of the greatest necessities, shelter on a hierarchy of needs. It's funny how when election years come around the sky is always falling, yet miraculously the worlds largest economy seems to survive and not crumble??
shiny

1 Posts

Posted - 09/05/2008 :  10:47:41 PM
Many of the people are losing their property due to seller of default data.Foreclosure is the legal proceeding in which a mortgagee,but many of the people are not gaining benefits.
======================================================
shiny

Foreclosure Auctions
SoCalRay

2698 Posts

Posted - 09/05/2008 :  10:59:11 PM
Report from MBA


The news also followed a report Friday by the Mortgage Bankers Association that more than 4 million American homeowners with a mortgage, a record 9 percent, were either behind on their payments or in foreclosure at the end of June.
propertylender.c

1551 Posts

Posted - 09/05/2008 :  11:06:35 PM
quote:
Originally posted by Scrooge McDuck

1 / 538 = 0.001858%

0.001858% of ALL US homes are in foreclosure? i have a hard time freaking out over a number like that.





Tell that to Countrywide.
propertylender.c

1551 Posts

Posted - 09/05/2008 :  11:08:47 PM
quote:
Originally posted by SoCalRay

Report from MBA


The news also followed a report Friday by the Mortgage Bankers Association that more than 4 million American homeowners with a mortgage, a record 9 percent, were either behind on their payments or in foreclosure at the end of June.




Wasn't it half that last year?
KHufford

9469 Posts

Posted - 09/05/2008 :  11:11:58 PM
Its WAY more than 1/538....sorry, that # is not correct. Its more like 1/58...if not more..

Promise.
austinmp

311 Posts

Posted - 09/05/2008 :  11:43:33 PM
Doubtful. How do you get one in 58? Are you talking about CA?
KHufford

9469 Posts

Posted - 09/05/2008 :  11:51:21 PM
quote:
Originally posted by austinmp

Doubtful. How do you get one in 58? Are you talking about CA?



There is an avg of 500 foreclosures per day in CA....do the math. That would mean if it were 1/538...that there is about 90 million homes in CA, based on 12 months on inventory...LOL
SHABONE

442 Posts

Posted - 09/06/2008 :  05:27:02 AM
It's 1300 homes a DAY in Cali. And its 1/58 homes. These stat's have been out for a while.
crankyusi

731 Posts

Posted - 09/06/2008 :  05:32:25 AM
quote:
Originally posted by SHABONE

It's 1300 homes a DAY in Cali. And its 1/58 homes. These stat's have been out for a while.


Any link available? Thanks.
Mandyvilla

5405 Posts

Posted - 09/06/2008 :  05:33:09 AM
The very first thing that caught my eye was the date of April 15th. Why reply 5 months later?


quote:
Originally posted by peter


U.S. Foreclosures Jump 57% as Homeowners Walk Away (Update3)

By Dan Levy



April 15 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. foreclosure filings jumped 57 percent and bank repossessions more than doubled in March from a year earlier as adjustable mortgages increased and more owners lost their homes to lenders.

More than 234,000 properties were in some stage of foreclosure, or one in every 538 U.S. households, Irvine, California-based RealtyTrac Inc., a seller of default data, said today in a statement. Nevada, California and Florida had the highest foreclosure rates. Filings rose 5 percent from February.

About $460 billion of adjustable-rate loans are scheduled to reset this year, according to New York-based analysts at Citigroup Inc. Auction notices rose 32 percent from a year ago, a sign that more defaulting homeowners are ``simply walking away and deeding their properties back to the foreclosing lender'' rather than letting the home be auctioned, RealtyTrac Chief Executive Officer James Saccacio said in the statement.

``We're not near the bottom of this at all,'' said Kenneth Rosen, chairman of Rosen Real Estate Securities LLC, a hedge fund in Berkeley, California and chairman of the Fisher Center for Real Estate at the University of California at Berkeley. ``The foreclosure process will accelerate throughout the year.''

Rising foreclosures will add more inventory to an already glutted market, keep home prices down through at least next year and thwart efforts by Congress and President George W. Bush to help homeowners avoid default, Rosen said in an interview.

`Drag' on Prices

About 2.5 million foreclosed properties will be on the market this year and in 2009, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. analysts led by Michelle Meyer said in an April 10 report. U.S. home price declines will probably double to a national average of 20 percent by next year, with lower values most likely in metropolitan areas in California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada, mortgage insurer PMI Group Inc. said last week in a report
Borrowers who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth may be buffeted by increasing job losses in a ``very substantial recession,'' Rosen said. About 8.8 million borrowers had home mortgages that exceeded the value of their property, Moody's Economy.com said last week.

``At least 2 million jobs will be lost because of this recession, so we'll get a cumulative negative spiral,'' Rosen said. ``A normal recession is 10 months. We think this one may be twice as long.''

Subprime Defaults

Bank seizures climbed 129 percent from a year earlier, according to RealtyTrac, which has a database of more than 1 million properties and monitors foreclosure filings including defaults notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions. March was the 27th consecutive month of year-on-year monthly foreclosure increases. In February, foreclosure filings rose 60 percent.
A surge in defaults among subprime borrowers, those with poor or limited credit, spurred the collapse of the U.S. home loan market and has led more than 100 mortgage companies to stop lending, close or sell themselves. As the value of securities tied to mortgages plummeted, lenders and securities firms have reported writedowns and credit losses of at least $245 billion since the beginning of 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Nevada had the highest U.S. foreclosure rate in March at one for every 139 households, almost four times the national rate, RealtyTrac said. Filings there increased almost 62 percent from a year earlier to 7,659.

Florida, Ohio

California had the second-highest rate at one filing for every 204 households, and the most filings for the 15th consecutive month at 64,711. Foreclosure filings more than doubled from a year earlier and were up about 21 percent from February.

Florida had the third-highest rate, one filing for every 282 households, and ranked second in total filings at 30,254. Foreclosures increased 112 percent from a year earlier and decreased almost 7 percent from February, RealtyTrac said.

Ohio ranked third in filings at 11,273 and had the seventh- highest foreclosure rate, one for every 448 households. Georgia, Texas, Michigan, Arizona, Illinois, Nevada and Colorado also ranked among the top 10 states with the most filings, RealtyTrac said.

Foreclosure filings in New York rose 37 percent in March from a year ago and fell 3 percent from February. The state ranked 30th with 5,088 filings.

New Jersey's Declines

In New Jersey, foreclosure filings fell 6.2 percent from a year ago and declined 20 percent from February. There were 4,482 filings in March. Connecticut foreclosures jumped 40 percent from a year ago and fell 3.3 percent from February. It had 2,126 filings.

``The continued increase in new foreclosures implies an even larger drag on prices in 2008,'' Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Economist Jan Hatzius wrote April 8. Home prices fell 8.9 percent in the fourth quarter, the biggest decline in 20 years as measured by the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index.

Some borrowers are ``hanging on at the margins'' in the face of resets, said Mark Goldman, a loan officer at Windsor Capital Mortgage Corp. in San Diego.

Goldman said one of his clients is a self-employed contractor whose adjustable-rate mortgage rose by two percentage points two months ago. His mortgage payment has increased to $7,200 from $4,900.

``I've had people sitting in my office in tears because there are no loans available,'' said Goldman. ``There are no loans for someone who's upside down on their house.''

* Top Five States for Foreclosures State Rate Per Households Total Nevada 139 7,659 California 204 64,711 Florida 282 30,254 Arizona 283 9,199 Colorado 339 6,180 *

To contact the reporter on this story: Dan Levy in San Francisco at dlevy13@bloomberg.net.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a3_Y.T_wvElI&refer=home



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